(Adnkronos) – What if Donald Trump were to break the impasse that has characterized Iceland’s accession process to the European Union for over a decade? The New York Times asks this question, describing the atmosphere in Reykjavik today, where the government of social democratic Prime Minister Kristrun Frostadottir has already called a referendum for this summer to resume exploratory talks with the European Union, which were interrupted in 2013. For decades, Iceland has strongly defended its independence, especially regarding the control of fishing resources, choosing to remain outside the European bloc. But Trump’s repeated statements about his desire to “acquire” Greenland have fueled fears and cast a shadow over Arctic security and the geopolitical fragility of the region.
At the heart of the debate is the need, felt by the Icelandic government, to ensure greater political and economic stability for the country. Iceland, the only NATO member without an army, has always relied on the Atlantic Alliance and the United States for its defense. However, the uncertainty linked to American foreign policy has pushed a growing part of public opinion to look more favorably towards Europe. In March, Brussels and Reykjavik signed a defense partnership, while several analysts cited by the American newspaper emphasize that joining the EU would offer Iceland a more stable anchor in the international scenario. Economically, discontent is also growing: inflation exceeds 5%, the Icelandic krona remains volatile, and the cost of living continues to rise.
However, strong resistance persists, especially in the fishing sector, a historical pillar of the Icelandic economy. Many fishermen fear that eventual EU membership could lead to concessions on fishing quotas and the opening of Icelandic waters to European fishing vessels. “We must protect the fishing industry,” argue opponents, observing with concern the difficulties experienced by some Irish coastal communities after quota reductions imposed by the European Union. Supporters of accession, on the other hand, believe that any negotiations could ensure favorable conditions for Reykjavik and urge the country to at least “open negotiations to see what’s on the table.” Meanwhile, a referendum is scheduled for August 29 to decide whether to restart exploratory talks with Brussels with a view to possible future accession, a process that could still take many years to materialize.
